Live window
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
1:28
3:32 in
SIT
v6 hybrid
Down ask 58¢ is above 55¢. Not a gift. BTC -9.0 bp · Up 43¢ / Down 58¢
BTC vs open
69,548.90 -9.0 bps
open 69,611.80 · coinbase
p(Up) / p(Down)
38% / 62%
Lean / momentum
Down · flat
Last action
SIT · HYBRID · Hybrid sitting. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 78¢ / Down 23¢. No early / jump / lag / confirm.
Upask 43¢p 38%edge -5¢
Downask 58¢p 62%edge +4¢
tape live
Up
ask 43¢ · p 38% · γ 27¢
Asks
- 43¢158.4
- 44¢199.4
- 45¢120.6
- 46¢55.0
- 47¢185.1
- 48¢151.1
Bids
- 42¢80.9
- 41¢154.0
- 40¢80.0
- 39¢262.0
- 38¢465.1
- 37¢201.3
Down
ask 58¢ · p 62% · γ 74¢
Asks
- 58¢80.9
- 59¢154.0
- 60¢80.0
- 61¢262.0
- 62¢465.1
- 63¢201.3
Bids
- 57¢158.4
- 56¢199.4
- 55¢120.6
- 54¢55.0
- 53¢185.1
- 52¢151.1
Tape
Connected- SITHYBRID · Hybrid sitting. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 78¢ / Down 23¢. No early / jump / lag / confirm.
- SITORACLE · Oracle sees Down but 23¢ is not a cheap winner. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 78¢ / Down 23¢
- SITGENESIS · No high-conviction print. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 78¢ / Down 23¢. Waiting for a monster or a clean 30–50¢.
- SITHYBRID · Hybrid sitting. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 77¢ / Down 24¢. No early / jump / lag / confirm.
- SITORACLE · Oracle sees Down but 24¢ is not a cheap winner. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 77¢ / Down 24¢
- SITGENESIS · No high-conviction print. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 77¢ / Down 24¢. Waiting for a monster or a clean 30–50¢.
- FAK rejected · ipCLOB rejected v2 FAK (403/ip): {"error":"Trading restricted in your region, please refer to available regions - https://docs.polymarket.com/developers/CLOB/geoblock"}
- Activated · sig 3 POLY_1271CLOB cash $38.81 · funder 0x303F…FB27 · wrap 317b